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Abstract: SA-PO1128

Post-Kidney Transplant Allograft Failures and Patient Deaths: Donor COVID-19 Status and Pandemic-Era Effects

Session Information

Category: Transplantation

  • 2002 Transplantation: Clinical

Authors

  • de Silva, Sajith, The University of New Mexico School of Medicine, Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States
  • Litvinovich, Igor, The University of New Mexico School of Medicine, Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States
  • Chong, Kelly, The University of New Mexico School of Medicine, Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States
  • Ng, Yue-Harn, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, Washington, United States
  • Kataria, Ashish, University of Kentucky College of Medicine, Lexington, Kentucky, United States
  • Singh, Pooja P., The University of New Mexico School of Medicine, Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States
  • Argyropoulos, Christos, The University of New Mexico School of Medicine, Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States
  • Zhu, Yiliang, The University of New Mexico School of Medicine, Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States
Background

The COVID-19 pandemic altered deceased-donor organ utilization and delivery of transplant care. However, the impact of the kidneys from SARS-CoV-2 positive donors, as well as the broader effects of the pandemic era on kidney transplant outcomes, remain incompletely characterized.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult, first-time deceased-donor kidney transplant recipients in the United States from 2015 to 2024. We examined the associations of donor COVID-19 status at the time of transplant (positive vs. negative) and transplant era (pre-pandemic vs. pandemic/post-pandemic) with allograft failures and patient deaths. Time-to-event analyses were performed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models for the outcomes, adjusting for donor and patient characters (paired when feasible), and transplant-related factors.

Results

Among 132,683 kidney recipients, 3.5% of the donors were COVID-19 positive. Compared to pre-pandemic transplants, recipients of COVID-19 positive donors were associated with an accelerated allograft failure (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.10–1.44), while COVID-19 negative donors was associated with a modest increased risk (aHR = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.01–1.12) [Table 1]. The risks of patient death were elevated during and post COVID compared with pre-COVID period for recipients of COVID-19 positive donors (aHR = 1.06, 95% CI = 0.93–1.22), negative donors (aHR = 1.17, 95% CI = 1.13–1.23) as well as status unknown donors (aHR = 1.34, CI=1.22 – 1.46). These associations were adjusted for donor and recipient characteristics, center effects, and transplant factors.

Conclusion

Risk of patient death was elevated during the COVID-19 era, irrespective of donor COVID status. COVID-19 positive donors was associated with elevated risk of allograft loss. These findings support continued monitoring of the use of COVID-19 positive donors regarding transplant outcomes while acknowledging the disruptive effects of COVID lingering on the healthcare system and kidney transplantation.

Table 1: Survival models for allograft failures and patient deaths
 Allograft FailuresPatients Deaths
aHR (95% CI)P-valueaHR (95% CI)P-value
Pre-pandemic EraReference Reference 
Covid Negative1.07 (1.01, 1.12)0.0121.17 (1.13, 1.23)<0.001
Covid Positive1.26 (1.10, 1.44)0.0011.06 (0.93, 1.22)0.395
Covid Unknown0.92 (0.82, 1.05)0.2121.34 (1.22, 1.46)<0.001

Funding

  • Commercial Support – Dialysis Clinic, Inc.