Abstract: SA-OR015
Plasma Biomarkers to Identify Patients at Increased Risk of CKD Following an Episode of AKI
Session Information
- AKI: Risk Factors, Biomarkers, and Predictors
November 09, 2019 | Location: Salon C, Walter E. Washington Convention Center
Abstract Time: 05:18 PM - 05:30 PM
Category: Acute Kidney Injury
- 102 AKI: Clinical, Outcomes, and Trials
Authors
- Selby, Nicholas M., University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom
- Hutchinson, Michelle, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
- Packington, Rebecca A., University Hospitals of Derby and Burton, Derby, United Kingdom
- McCole, Eibhlin M., Randox Teoranta, Donnegal, Ireland
- Kurth, Mary Jo, Randox Laboratories Ltd, Antrim, United Kingdom
- Richardson, Ciaran, Randox Teoranta, Donnegal, Ireland
- Fitzgerald, Peter, Randox Laboratories Ltd, Antrim, United Kingdom
- Banks, Rosamonde Elizabeth, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
Background
The long-term sequelae of acute kidney injury (AKI) on renal function and mortality are increasingly appreciated, but there remains the need for prospective studies to develop strategies to identify those at greatest risk. We aimed to test whether biomarkers improve prediction of long-term outcomes of AKI.
Methods
In a single centre, participants were identified using a hospital-wide electronic AKI detection system. Plasma samples were collected at 3months after hospitalisation and a panel of 14 biomarkers were measured using a multiplex biochip array method. This was done firstly in a discovery cohort (112 AKI patients) with the most promising markers assayed in the remaining 388 AKI patients (validation cohort). Measures of renal function, proteinuria and survival were assessed at 1 and 3 years. CKD progression was defined as ≧25% decline in eGFR from baseline (pre-AKI) with a decline in eGFR stage.
Results
Median age was 70yrs (IQR 14), AKI episodes were predominantly stage 1 with median duration 3 days (IQR 3) and 29% had pre-existing CKD. There was no difference in age, gender or smoking status between discovery and validation cohorts. The proportion of AKI patients with CKD progression was 21% and 22% at year 1 and 3 respectively. Mortality was 4.3% at year 1 and 15.8% at year 3. Clinical factors associated with CKD progression included eGFR at 3months, albuminuria, severity and duration of AKI.
In the discovery cohort, four markers were associated with CKD progression, including NGAL and cystatin C. Multiplexed models were developed to include biomarkers and clinical variables; when the models derived in the discovery cohort were applied to the validation cohort, AUC’s improved e.g. AUC of best performing model in validation cohort 0.81 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.87) to discriminate those with CKD progression at 1 year.
Conclusion
Non-recovery of renal function is common following AKI, even in a general hospital population with predominantly AKI stage 1. We present data evaluating the utility of a panel of biomarkers to identify those at highest risk.
Funding
- Private Foundation Support