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Abstract: SA-PO1119

Association Between Longitudinal eGFR and Sudden Cardiac Death Among CKD Patients

Session Information

Category: CKD (Non-Dialysis)

  • 2301 CKD (Non-Dialysis): Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Prevention

Authors

  • Delannoy, Jean, Centre de Recherche en Epidemiologie et Sante des Populations, Villejuif, Île-de-France, France
  • Faucon, Anne-Laure, Centre de Recherche en Epidemiologie et Sante des Populations, Villejuif, Île-de-France, France
  • Metzger, Marie, Centre de Recherche en Epidemiologie et Sante des Populations, Villejuif, Île-de-France, France
  • Liabeuf, Sophie, Universite de Picardie Jules Verne, Amiens, Hauts-de-France, France
  • Massy, Ziad, Centre de Recherche en Epidemiologie et Sante des Populations, Villejuif, Île-de-France, France
  • Mansencal, Nicolas, Hopital Ambroise-Pare, Boulogne-Billancourt, Île-de-France, France
  • Stengel, Benedicte, Centre de Recherche en Epidemiologie et Sante des Populations, Villejuif, Île-de-France, France
  • Alencar de Pinho, Natalia, Centre de Recherche en Epidemiologie et Sante des Populations, Villejuif, Île-de-France, France
Background

The risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) is high among dialysis dependent patients, but is poorly characterized in earlier chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages. We aimed at analyzing the relation between longitudinal eGFR and the risk of SCD in patients with moderate to severe CKD.

Methods

We analyzed data from the CKD-REIN cohort study, which enrolled adult patients with CKD stage 3 to 5 from 40 nationally representative outpatient nephrology clinics in France. All cardiovascular (CV) deaths were reviewed, and causes were adjudicated by two cardiologists. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of SCD and other CV deaths associated with current eGFR value and slope were estimated with shared frailty joint models. Non-CV death and kidney replacement therapy were competing events. Models were adjusted for age, gender, urine albumin-creatinine ratio, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, smoking, alcohol consumption and education.

Results

We included 3020 patients: 65% men, mean age 67±13 years, eGFR 34±13 mL/min/1.73m2, 30% with history of heart failure or coronary heart disease. Over a median follow-up of 5 years (interquartile range 4.6-5.2), patients underwent 12 (8-17) eGFR measurements, and the mean eGFR slope was -2 mL/min/1.73m2/year. Forty-four SCD and 102 CV deaths from other causes occurred; incidence rates were 3.7 (95% CI 2.7-5.0) and 8.7 (7.1-10.6) per 1000 person-years, respectively. Lower current eGFR value was similarly associated with the risks of SCD and other CV deaths (40 to 60% higher event hazard per 10mL/min/1.73m2 eGFR decrease, with overlapping 95% CI), whereas current eGFR slope was only associated with the risk of other CV deaths (Table).

Conclusion

Patients with more advanced CKD had higher risks of both SCD and CV deaths from other causes, but steeper eGFR decline seemed more closely related with CV deaths other than SCD.

 Model including only
current eGFR value and slope
Fully-adjusted model
HR95% CIHR95% CI
Sudden cardiac death    
- Current eGFR value*1.531.03 - 2.271.421.04 - 1.94
- Current eGFR slope**0.950.67 - 1.360.970.69 - 1.36
Other CV deaths    
- Current eGFR value*1.611.33 - 1.951.581.27 - 1.97
- Current eGFR slope**1.311.08 - 1.61.441.21 - 1.72

*per -10 mL/min/1.73m2 **per -2 mL/min/1.73m2/year

Funding

  • Commercial Support – Fresenius Medical Care; GlaxoSmithKline; Vifor France; Sanofi-Genzyme; Baxter and Merck Sharp & Dohme-Chibret; Amgen; Lilly France; Otsuka Pharmaceutical; and AstraZeneca.